Grenoble vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 10
  • Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.62
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1324
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
86% (327/379)90% (433/483)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.51
Total shots
1324
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
611
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
212
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2640
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
86% (327/379)90% (433/483)
Long passes
63% (34/54)78% (46/59)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)80% (121/152)
Crosses
44% (8/18)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.91
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
1210
Tackles
70% (16/23)92% (12/13)
Duels won
4635
Clearances
2614
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.511.27
Goals prevented
0.510.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Sadik O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Diaby Y. , Elphege N. (A),
  • 59', Bobichon A. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 59', Dong K. , Messi R. ,
  • 65', Diaby Y. , Maurin E. ,
  • 67', Meddah D. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 67', Sadik O. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 76', Pouilly T. , Fall C. ,
  • 76', Bangre M. , Mbock H. ,
  • 78', Elphege N. 🟨,
  • 85', Benet J. , Diba S. ,
  • 86', Mion M. , Kerouedan A. ,
  • 87', Paquiez G. , Zahui N. ,
  • 90', Sissoko O. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Fall C. ,

Chances of winning


Grenoble
31.4%
Draw
30.2%
Pau
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 30.2% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 29.3% 41.8%

Grenoble - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.97
(3.18)
3.15
(3.08)
2.46
(2.3)
6.1%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grenoble - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Pau will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 0.
    • Recent performances by Grenoble have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Bechikh M. (Inactive) Diba S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Messi R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grenoble: Xantippe M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Beusnard S. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grenoble - Pau were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    30.08.2024 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    24.02.2024 Grenoble - Pau 0:1
    28.10.2023 Pau - Grenoble 3:2
    11.02.2023 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    Latest results of Grenoble
    04.10.2025 Reims - Grenoble 2:4
    26.09.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 0:0
    23.09.2025 Le Mans - Grenoble 1:0
    19.09.2025 Grenoble - Annecy 1:3
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    Latest results of Pau
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National