Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
05/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3027
Shots off target
1416
Shooting PCT
13.33% (4/30)3.7% (1/27)
Blocked shots
1715
Goalkeeper Saves
2626
Saves PCT
96.3% (26/27)86.67% (26/30)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
2423
Faceoffs Won
3427
Faceoffs %
55.7444.26
Giveaways
1717
Takeaways
81
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 02:14, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:40, Hellebuyck C. (2 min),
  • 12:57, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 15:31, 1 - 0, Barron M. (G), Koepke C. (A), Pearson T. (A2)
  • 19:42, 2 - 0, Scheifele M. (G), Iafallo A. (A), Connor K. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:45, Salomonsson E. (2 min),
  • 01:52, 2 - 1, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 05:34, 3 - 1, Nyquist G. (G), Toews J. (A), Pearson T. (A2)
  • 17:59, 4 - 1, Connor K. (G), Scheifele M. (A), Iafallo A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Winnipeg Jets
27%
Draw
22.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 22.5% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 21.6% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.46
    (3.06)
    4.21
    (4.31)
    1.86
    (2.12)
    6.5%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Winnipeg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Winnipeg: Miller C. (Knee Injury) Morrissey J. (Upper-Body Injury) Namestnikov V. (Lower-Body Injury) Niederreiter N. (Lower-Body Injury) Pionk N. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves G. (Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:74. (average 3.5:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Winnipeg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 3.9:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    29.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 4:1
    14.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 4:1
    03.11.2024 Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning 7:4
    02.01.2024 Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2
    22.11.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 2:3
    Latest results of Winnipeg Jets
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 774561016290:197112
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7835111220262:214104
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 7830151221261:225102
    4Utah Mammoth773110630254:22388
    5Edmonton Oilers783091029270:26388
    6Vegas Golden Knights782881626249:24188
    7Anaheim Ducks782417532257:27687
    8Nashville Predators7827101031238:25684
    9Los Angeles Kings7719131926211:23683
    10San Jose Sharks762512732234:26981
    11Winnipeg Jets772771231221:23480
    12St. Louis Blues772941232206:24178
    13Seattle Kraken772571134214:24875
    14Calgary Flames77257936202:24773
    15Chicago Blackhawks782171436202:25670
    16Vancouver Canucks77157847202:29752


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 783614622281:233106
    2Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 78399624281:221102
    3Buffalo Sabres ✔ 78398823270:233102
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 7832141022273:245102
    5Pittsburgh Penguins783371622280:25096
    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
    7Ottawa Senators783561027264:24092
    8Philadelphia Flyers7825151226233:23292
    9Columbus Blue Jackets7827121227245:24190
    10New York Islanders782814531226:22989
    11Detroit Red Wings782911929228:23889
    12Washington Capitals78336930248:24087
    13New Jersey Devils782812335219:23983
    14Toronto Maple Leafs772391431242:27578
    15Florida Panthers78298437233:26678
    16New York Rangers78249936229:23875

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )