Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (210/304) | 76% (298/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 2.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (210/304) | 76% (298/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/68) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (65/115) | 70% (92/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.54 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Chernikov A. ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
- 22', Martins C. 🟨,
- 39', Wooh C. 🟨,
- 44', Solari P. 🟨,
- 45', Litvinov R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Martins C. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽,
- 67', Solari P. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 73', Spertsyan E. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 73', Victor Sa ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 74', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 80', Denisov D. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 80', Umyarov N. ↓, Bongonda T. ↑,
- 81', Olaza L. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 81', Joao Batxi ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 83', Fernandes G. 🟨,
- 84', Cordoba J. 🟨,
- 85', Chernikov A. ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 88', Cordoba J. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽, Barco E. (A),
- 90+1', Krivtsov N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
- 90+5', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
46.2% | Draw
27.3% | Spartak Moscow
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.1) |
3.52 ↑
(3.4) |
3.61 ↑
(3.3) |
4.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Krasnodar will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krasnodar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 2.
- Krasnodar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Spartak M is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Spartak M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Krasnodar has had a series of home games.
- Krasnodar could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Jubal Junior
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Spartak Moscow?
Krasnodar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Krasnodar?
Spartak Moscow has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
30.01.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Krasnodar
3:2
01.12.2024
Krasnodar
-
Spartak Moscow
0:3
19.10.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Krasnodar
0:3
11.05.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:0
01.11.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Krasnodar
2:3
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
