Vélez Sársfield vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.14
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
76% (339/448)71% (300/420)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.770.58
Total shots
218
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
4012
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
76% (339/448)71% (300/420)
Long passes
39% (24/61)38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
69% (118/171)47% (58/123)
Crosses
30% (6/20)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.000.69
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1016
Tackles
70% (14/20)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6856
Clearances
1432
Interceptions
1021
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.582.77
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Bajamich M. ,
  • 31', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Braian Romero , Pellegrini M. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Braian Romero , Galvan T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Pizzini F. 🟨,
  • 60', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 64', Lopez K. , Ruiz R. ,
  • 64', Lamendola N. , Godoy L. ,
  • 64', Martinez D. , Villa M. ,
  • 67', Pellegrini M. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 70', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 73', Bajamich M. , Abeldano G. ,
  • 78', Galvan T. , Valdes D. ,
  • 78', Sanchez A. , Franco N. ,
  • 81', Franco N. 🟨,
  • 84', Ortiz K. 🟨,
  • 86', Bouzat A. , Arias M. ,
  • 87', Braian Romero , Roldan L. ,
  • 87', Pizzini F. , Godoy D. ,
  • 90+1', Ortiz M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Valdes D. , Baeza C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
48.9%
Draw
29.8%
Atlético Tucumán
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 29.8% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 29.9% 22.1%

Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.97
(1.96)
3.14
(3.17)
4.49
(4.28)
5%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vélez is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Quiros A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Roman P. (Inactive) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Gordon J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 1:1
    02.03.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    09.10.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 3:1
    20.02.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys00000:000
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    4San Lorenzo00000:000
    5Independiente00000:000
    6Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    7Boca Juniors00000:000
    8Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    9Talleres Cordoba00000:000
    10Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    11Instituto00000:000
    12Platense00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Central Cordoba00000:000
    15Gimnasia Mendoza00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Tigre00000:000
    3Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    4Banfield00000:000
    5Gimnasia L.P00000:000
    6Racing Club00000:000
    7Huracan00000:000
    8River Plate00000:000
    9Belgrano00000:000
    10Aldosivi00000:000
    11Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    12Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    13Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    14Barracas Central00000:000
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)