Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion
05/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
30.4%
Draw
28.3%
Guaraní Asuncion
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 28.3% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 28.2% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.78)
    3.28
    (3.25)
    2.26
    (2.38)
    7.7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
    • Sportivo Luqueño has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guaraní is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 2:1
    23.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion 0:1
    03.12.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0
    28.10.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 2:2
    16.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion 2:1
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1071226:91722
    2Cerro Porteno1063119:13621
    3Sportivo Trinidense1052315:13217
    4Sp. Luqueno1052313:9417
    5Nacional Asuncion1044211:8316
    6Libertad Asuncion1034311:9213
    7Olimpia Asuncion1033413:16-312
    8Recoleta1033414:15-112
    9General Caballero JLM103257:15-811
    102 de Mayo1024410:15-510
    11Ameliano1022610:18-88
    12Atl. Tembetary1012710:19-95

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )