Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki
Result
1:1
07/09/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J2 League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
2613
Shots on Goal
85
Shots off Goal
188
Free Kicks
910
Corner Kicks
93
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
47
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
11
Total Passes
506415
Completed Passes
461367
Tackles
1130
Attacks
5242
Dangerous Attacks
3820
Clearances Completed
1437
Crosses Completed
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Matheus Jesus , Marcos Guilherme (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Lucas Braga , Inui T. (A),
  • 55', Inui T. 🟨,
  • 69', Akino H. , Yamada R. ,
  • 69', Nakamura K. , Juanma Delgado ,
  • 73', Masuyama A. 🟨,
  • 78', Carlinhos , Yajima S. ,
  • 78', Lucas Braga , Nishihara M. ,
  • 79', Marcos Guilherme , Kasayanagi T. ,
  • 79', Sawada T. , Matsuzawa K. ,
  • 85', Kitazume K. , Yoshida Y. ,
  • 86', Kitagawa K. , Hasukawa S. ,
  • 90+1', Masuyama A. , Valdo ,
  • 90+3', Nakamura R. , Miyamoto K. ,

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
59.1%
Draw
22.5%
V-Varen Nagasaki
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25.1% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 24.8% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shimizu S-Pulse's performance.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and V-Varen Nagasaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimizu S-Pulse that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that V-Varen Nagasaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.91)
    4.13
    (3.7)
    5.05
    (3.51)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki?
  • Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1.
    • Shimizu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Shimizu is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Shimizu to win the game is with odds 1.63.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
    10.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:1
    01.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:2
    04.03.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito311610547:281958
    2V-Varen Nagasaki311511549:40956
    3Chiba31167843:291455
    4Vegalta Sendai311412539:281154
    5Tokushima31149833:201351
    6Omiya Ardija31148945:311450
    7Sagan Tosu31148939:34550
    8Iwata311461148:42648
    9Imabari311211839:33647
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo311341438:53-1543
    11Kofu311191135:33242
    12Iwaki3110101146:40640
    13Montedio Yamagata311151545:45038
    14Blaublitz311071440:49-937
    15Fujieda MYFC31991337:41-436
    16Kumamoto31971539:49-1034
    17Oita Trinita317121224:36-1233
    18Renofa Yamaguchi314131428:40-1225
    19Toyama31591724:43-1924
    20Ehime313111730:54-2420

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League