Result
3:1
30/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Referee: Munukka A. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (486/554) | 85% (433/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (486/554) | 85% (433/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (14/36) | 57% (30/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (156/197) | 74% (79/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Moller L. ⚽, Simojoki K. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Miettunen T. ⚽, Riski Ro. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Wallius K. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Stjopin M. ⚽, Jukkola O. (A),
- 58', Moller L. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
- 63', Hostikka S. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Rale M. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
- 74', Ylitolva M. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
- 74', Tikkanen V. ↓, Bogicevic M. ↑,
- 74', Mentu P. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
- 76', Kanga J. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
- 76', Stjopin M. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
- 83', Riski Ro. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 84', Veteli J. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 90+1', Kouassivi-Benissan K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ilves
53% | Draw
21.4% | HJK
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ilves - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.97) |
4.38 ↑
(4) |
3.67 ↑
(3.07) |
6.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Ilves - HJK?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 12 - 75%). HJK will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 53.8% – 96.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
- Ilves has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, HJK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Ulundu V.
(Inactive)
Virtanen O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in HJK: Antzoulas G.
(Inactive)
Ezeh D.
(Inactive)
Kanellopoulos G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HJK?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Ilves?
HJK has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - HJK were as follows:
29.09.2025
HJK
-
Ilves
2:2
11.08.2025
HJK
-
Ilves
5:1
05.04.2025
Ilves
-
HJK
3:2
28.09.2024
HJK
-
Ilves
0:1
06.07.2024
Ilves
-
HJK
3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 62:34 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Ilves | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:45 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | SJK | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 70:51 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 | HJK | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 74:52 | 22 | 49 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 47:65 | -18 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
