Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (253/337) | 67% (209/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (253/337) | 67% (209/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (14/44) | 27% (19/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (80/125) | 59% (59/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Yuzawa M. ⚽, Nago S. (A),
- 60', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 62', Lukian ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
- 62', Adailton ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
- 75', Iwatake K. ↓, Shimbo K. ↑,
- 76', Nago S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
- 76', Sato S. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 81', Yamane T. ↓, Endo T. ↑,
- 81', Joao Paulo ↓, Ito S. ↑,
- 90+9', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Oda I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka 38.1% | Draw 32% | Yokohama FC 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↑ (2.26) |
2.97 ↓ (3.1) |
3.16 ↓ (3.57) |
5.6% (4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Yokohama FC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
- Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Yokohama FC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia
(Knee Injury)
Miyata I.
(Muscle Injury)
Murata T.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FC: Fukumori A.
(Injury)
- We predict that Yokohama FC will win today's game, with odds of 3.4.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Yokohama FC?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama FC won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Yokohama FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC were as follows:
10.05.2025
Yokohama FC
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
12.08.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Yokohama FC
2:0
01.04.2023
Yokohama FC
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Yokohama FC
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League