Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.55
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
75% (253/337)67% (209/310)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.110.64
Total shots
189
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
75% (253/337)67% (209/310)
Long passes
32% (14/44)27% (19/71)
Passes in final third
64% (80/125)59% (59/100)
Crosses
38% (6/16)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.46
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
1312
Tackles
57% (4/7)60% (3/5)
Duels won
6541
Clearances
4228
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.642.11
Goals prevented
0.641.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Yuzawa M. , Nago S. (A),
  • 60', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 62', Lukian , Sakuragawa S. ,
  • 62', Adailton , Kubota R. ,
  • 75', Iwatake K. , Shimbo K. ,
  • 76', Nago S. , Konno K. ,
  • 76', Sato S. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 81', Yamane T. , Endo T. ,
  • 81', Joao Paulo , Ito S. ,
  • 90+9', Hashimoto Y. , Oda I. ,

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
38.1%
Draw
32%
Yokohama FC
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 30.9% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 30% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.26)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    3.16
    (3.57)
    5.6%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Yokohama FC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
    • Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Yokohama FC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia (Knee Injury) Miyata I. (Muscle Injury) Murata T. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FC: Fukumori A. (Injury)
    • We predict that Yokohama FC will win today's game, with odds of 3.4.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    12.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC 2:0
    01.04.2023 Yokohama FC - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Yokohama FC
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)