Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 8
  • Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuador TV, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, TC Television, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.36
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
85% (336/394)73% (227/311)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.06
Total shots
207
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
85% (336/394)73% (227/311)
Long passes
62% (31/50)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
74% (100/135)59% (51/87)
Crosses
24% (10/41)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.55
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1212
Tackles
69% (11/16)71% (15/21)
Duels won
4953
Clearances
2028
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.060.88
Goals prevented
-0.94-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Quinonez Y. , Biojo R. (A),
  • 45', Arboleda C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. , Loor L. (A),
  • 45+4', Caicedo N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Caicedo N. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 46', Arboleda C. , Bueno Quinonez S. ,
  • 70', Lerma J. , Pata E. ,
  • 74', Ayovi W. , Monaga J. ,
  • 74', Quinonez Y. , Bolanos D. ,
  • 79', Ibarra R. , Arroyo J. P. ,
  • 84', Humanante J. 🟨,
  • 85', Briones R. , Hoyos M. ,
  • 87', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Hoyos M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Zambrano I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
70.2%
Draw
19%
Libertad Loja
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 17.5% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.29)
    4.93
    (5.29)
    8.58
    (8.47)
    7.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 1:3
    14.06.2025 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 1:1
    15.02.2025 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 2:0
    20.09.2024 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 1:1
    07.04.2024 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 3:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle22004:046
    2Macara21102:024
    3Delfin21102:114
    4Libertad21102:114
    5Dep. Cuenca21012:203
    6Barcelona SC21012:203
    7LDU Quito21012:3-13
    8Aucas20202:202
    9Mushuc Runa20201:102
    10Leones del Norte20201:102
    11U. Catolica10100:001
    12Orense20112:3-11
    13Tecnico U20111:2-11
    14Guayaquil City20111:3-21
    15Manta20020:3-30
    16Emelec10101:10-2

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