Result
1:3
03/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 4
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (251/320) | 80% (279/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (251/320) | 80% (279/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (66/96) | 73% (104/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 37% (13/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Zambrano I. ⚽, Caicedo E. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Ibarra R. ⚽, Cortez G. (A),
- 45+4', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 63', 1 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
- 71', Caicedo N. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 72', Bolanos D. ↓, Biojo R. ↑,
- 77', Ibarra R. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 77', Pata E. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Arroyo J. P. ⚽, Carabajal M. (A),
- 84', Lerma J. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 88', Schunke R. 🟨,
- 89', Cortez G. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 89', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
20.1% | Draw
25.3% | Independiente del Valle
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.48 ↑
(4.08) |
3.63 ↑
(3.58) |
1.71 ↓
(1.78) |
8.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Independiente del Valle?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Libertad Loja?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
14.06.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
15.02.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Independiente del Valle
2:0
20.09.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
07.04.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
17.09.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Aucas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 49 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 39:38 | 1 | 49 |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 41:54 | -13 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 30:57 | -27 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
