Result
0:2
17/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (545/601) | 77% (212/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (545/601) | 77% (212/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 33% (14/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (169/201) | 71% (40/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/42) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Fabricio Bruno ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nonato ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 59', Martinelli 🟨,
- 63', Kaua Prates ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 66', Soteldo Y. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 66', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 67', Cassio 🟨,
- 75', Fuentes G. ↓, Rene ↑,
- 76', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
- 79', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 79', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 86', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 88', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 89', Christian ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
41.8% | Draw
31.6% | Cruzeiro
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.55) |
3 ↓
(3.15) |
3.57 ↑
(2.8) |
5.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Cruzeiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Fluminense (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
- Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Kaiki
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Riquelme Felipe
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: William Furtado
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Cruzeiro?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Fluminense?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Cruzeiro were as follows:
03.10.2024
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
19.06.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
20.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
10.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 47:10 | 37 | 50 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 36:20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30:14 | 16 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Ceara | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 15 | Vasco | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
