Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (387/456) | 75% (250/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (387/456) | 75% (250/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 43% (19/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (111/159) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 68% (23/34) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Veliz A. ⚽, Sandez A. (A),
- 23', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 24', Braian Romero 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Lanzini M. ⚽,
- 65', Lopez S. 🟨,
- 66', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 68', Malcorra I. 🟨,
- 69', Lopez S. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 71', Lanzini M. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
- 79', Di Maria A. ↓, Oviedo F. ↑,
- 84', Sandez A. 🟨,
- 84', Lagos A. 🟨,
- 87', Broun J. 🟨,
- 88', Braian Romero ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 90+2', Broun J. ↓, Werner A. ↑,
- 90+2', Veliz A. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
- 90+6', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 2, Malcorra I. (Pen),
- 90+12', Aliendro R. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
37.8% | Draw
32.6% | Rosario Central
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.8) |
2.9
(2.9) |
3.14 ↑
(2.68) |
5.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Vélez: Baeza C.
(Yellow Cards)
Carrizo M.
(International duty)
Cavanagh T.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Gordon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
Montero A.
(International duty)
Pellegrini M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Gutierrez K.
(Knee Injury)
Modica A.
(Muscle Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Knee Injury)
Quintana C.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Rosario Central?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Vélez Sársfield?
Rosario Central has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central were as follows:
05.04.2025
Rosario Central
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
01.10.2024
Rosario Central
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:0
05.03.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Rosario Central
1:0
19.10.2023
Rosario Central
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
15.05.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Rosario Central
0:0
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
