CF Montréal vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS CF Montréal - Cincinnati
Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.92
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
1318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
812
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Long passes
41% (23/56)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
75% (59/79)74% (106/144)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.20
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
128
Tackles
70% (14/20)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3759
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
1.920.89
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Clark C. 🟨,
  • 40', Nwobodo O. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽, Yedlin D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Clark C. ↓, Opoku K. ↑,
  • 55', Guboglo Y. ↓, Sealy D. ↑,
  • 55', Pearce T. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
  • 58', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Orellano L. ⚽, Evander (A),
  • 67', Kamara K. ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
  • 71', Piette S. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
  • 82', Neal J. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Evander ⚽, Engel L. (A),
  • 86', Evander ↓, Baird C. ↑,
  • 86', Orellano L. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
  • 86', Denkey K. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Owusu P. ⚽, Vilsaint J. (A),
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bugaj D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
31.7%		Draw
26.2%		Cincinnati
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.5% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    CF Montréal - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.97 ↓
    (2.97)    		 3.62 ↓
    (3.63)    		 2.28 ↑
    (2.28)    		 5.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 21.5% – 71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Escobar O. (International duty) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Cincinnati were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:1
    13.04.2024 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 2:1
    20.09.2023 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:1
    17.05.2023 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺
    31.05.2025 CF Montréal - New England Revolution 0:3 ✺
    28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 CF Montréal - Los Angeles 2:2 ✺
    20.05.2025 Forge - CF Montréal 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    14.06.2025 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Cincinnati - DC United 1:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 Cincinnati - FC Dallas 3:3 ✺
    25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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