Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 2.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/433) | 74% (196/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/433) | 74% (196/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (12/37) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (129/172) | 62% (47/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (12/33) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Luciano ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
- 46', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 58', Lucca Marques ↓, dos Santos P. ↑,
- 58', Soares C. 🟨,
- 62', Rojas J. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 62', David ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 63', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 63', Soares C. ↓, Maik ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Franco A. 🟨,
- 80', Danielzinho ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
- 80', Luciano ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 81', Cauan Barros ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Andres Gomez ⚽, Brenner (A),
- 90+7', Leo Jardim 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
43.4% | Draw
29.3% | São Paulo
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Vasco da Gama - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.39) |
3.24 ↑
(3.12) |
3.46 ↑
(2.88) |
4.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 50%). São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - São Paulo (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Recent form of Vasco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- São Paulo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vasco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Jair
(Knee Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
Saldivia A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Lucas Moura
(Broken rib)
Lucas Ramon
(Red Card)
Paulinho
(Inactive)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Sabino
(Overload)
Toloi R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Marcos Antonio
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against São Paulo?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vasco da Gama?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - São Paulo were as follows:
02.11.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
0:2
12.06.2025
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:3
16.10.2024
São Paulo
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
22.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
4:1
07.10.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
São Paulo
0:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
