Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Mesquita T. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ribeiro S. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 46', Martins H. ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 51', Goba Zakpa 🟨,
- 62', Sousa C. ↓, Okoli F. ↑,
- 73', Okoli F. 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Arsenio ⚽,
- 76', Dinho 🟨,
- 79', Mesquita T. 🟨,
- 80', Helder Pedro ↓, Zakari B. ↑,
- 80', Dinho ↓, Leandro M. ↑,
- 83', Goba Zakpa ↓, Avto ↑,
- 84', Arsenio ↓, Renato Luis ↑,
- 87', Guedes R. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
- 88', Valente M. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 90+3', Bright 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amarante
29.2% | Draw
29.6% | Lusitânia
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Amarante - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
3.13 ↑
(2.95) |
2.25 ↓
(2.3) |
8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Amarante - Lusitânia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Amarante won 1.
- Recent matches Amarante is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lusitânia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lusitânia will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Lusitânia?
Amarante has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Amarante?
Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Lusitânia were as follows:
01.03.2025
Lusitânia
-
Amarante
2:1
04.01.2025
Lusitânia
-
Amarante
1:0
14.09.2024
Amarante
-
Lusitânia
1:0
20.05.2023
Amarante
-
Lusitânia
0:0
Latest results of Amarante
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 | Trofense | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Paredes | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Braga B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 23 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Varzim | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | Academica | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Santarem | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Caldas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Amora | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
