Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	0.26
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	0
Passes
88% (375/426)	86% (406/470)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	0.00
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
32	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
10	22
Passes
88% (375/426)	86% (406/470)
Long passes
49% (22/45)	59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
83% (120/144)	67% (64/96)
Crosses
50% (10/20)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.21	0.69
Throw-ins
22	12
Fouls
22	10
Tackles
67% (10/15)	76% (16/21)
Duels won
38	59
Clearances
16	22
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.00	1.92
Goals prevented
0.00	0.92

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
15', Morales A. ↓, Watts A. ↑,
21', Reid J. 🟨,
38', Ortiz P. 🟨,
42', Lundt B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wallem C. ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
46', Zalinsky J. ↓, Totland T. ↑,
46', Holmes D. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
54', Sviatchenko E. ↓, Bartlow E. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Ponce E. ⚽, Felipe Andrade (A), Escobar F. (A2)
67', Pompeu C. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
72', Reid J. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
77', Lingr O. ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
77', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Hiebert K. ↑,
85', Felipe Andrade ↓, Awodesu F. ↑,
85', Bassi A. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
90+6', Escobar F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Houston Dynamo
52.6%

Draw
24.4%

St. Louis City
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)	3.87 ↑ (3.4)	4.06 ↑ (4)	5.5% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 40% – 93.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against St. Louis City?

Houston Dynamo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Houston Dynamo?

St. Louis City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City were as follows:

05.10.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 3:0

04.05.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 0:0

27.02.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:0

20.02.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 2:1

16.09.2023 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:1

Latest results of Houston Dynamo

25.06.2025 Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo 3:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Houston Dynamo - Sporting Kansas City 1:3 ✺

28.05.2025 New York City - Houston Dynamo 0:3 ✺

24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3 ✺

Latest results of St. Louis City

25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺

14.06.2025 St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City 1:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	22	13	3	6	46:30	16	42
2	Minnesota United	22	11	7	4	39:25	14	40
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	21	11	5	5	35:25	10	38
4	Seattle Sounders	21	9	6	6	31:28	3	33
5	Portland Timbers	20	9	6	5	30:28	2	33
6	Los Angeles FC	19	9	5	5	35:24	11	32
7	Colorado Rapids	23	8	5	10	27:33	-6	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes	22	7	7	8	42:37	5	28
9	Austin FC	21	7	6	8	15:23	-8	27
10	Houston Dynamo	22	7	5	10	29:35	-6	26
11	Real Salt Lake	21	7	4	10	23:28	-5	25
12	Sporting Kansas City	22	6	5	11	35:41	-6	23
13	FC Dallas	21	5	6	10	27:39	-12	21
14	St. Louis City	21	3	6	12	21:34	-13	15
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	22	3	6	13	24:43	-19	15

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	22	13	4	5	37:21	16	43
2	FC Cincinnati	22	13	3	6	35:31	4	42
3	Nashville SC	22	12	5	5	38:25	13	41
4	Columbus Crew	22	11	8	3	38:29	9	41
5	Inter Miami	19	11	5	3	44:30	14	38
6	Orlando City	22	9	8	5	40:29	11	35
7	New York City	21	9	4	8	27:24	3	31
8	New York Red Bulls	22	8	6	8	33:27	6	30
9	Charlotte	22	9	2	11	36:36	0	29
10	Chicago Fire	21	8	4	9	40:38	2	28
11	New England Revolution	21	6	7	8	26:25	1	25
12	Atlanta Utd	21	4	7	10	23:38	-15	19
13	DC United	22	4	7	11	18:41	-23	19
14	Toronto FC	21	4	6	11	24:29	-5	18
15	CF Montreal	22	3	6	13	19:41	-22	15

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC