Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks
24/08/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
58%
Hawthorn Hawks
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.58)

    2.23
    (2.4)
    8.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
    • Recent performances by Brisbane have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hawthorn is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Hawthorn has had a series of home games.
    • Brisbane is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1396:1545. (average 77.6:85.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 403:334. (average 80.6:66.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93
    25.05.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 100:75
    09.06.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 98:73
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )