Orlando City vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Chicago Fire
Result
1:3
31/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Orlando City - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.14
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
131
Passes
89% (437/491)86% (349/405)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.64
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
126
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
131
Touches in opposition box
5815
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
89% (437/491)86% (349/405)
Long passes
69% (22/32)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
85% (187/219)68% (57/84)
Crosses
36% (14/39)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.600.31
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
1213
Tackles
67% (10/15)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
844
Interceptions
81
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.641.37
Goals prevented
-1.360.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. , Pineda M. (A),
  • 22', Cupps C. 🟨,
  • 28', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Cuypers H. , Zinckernagel P. (A), Dean J. (A2)
  • 32', 0 - 3, Cuypers H. ,
  • 40', 1 - 3, Freeman A. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 45', Jansson R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Angulo I. , Enrique R. ,
  • 49', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 54', Schlegel R. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 76', Gutman A. , Barroso L. ,
  • 76', Kouame R. , Acosta K. ,
  • 76', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 77', Gerbet J. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 84', Oregel S. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 84', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 88', Pasalic M. , Caraballo G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
57%
Draw
22.5%
Chicago Fire
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 22.2% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 22.6% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Orlando City - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.5)
    4.23
    (4.17)
    4.64
    (5.75)
    5.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
    • Orlando City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Red Card) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: D'Avilla D. (Red Card) Gutierrez B. (Red Card) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Orlando City 0:0
    22.06.2024 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 4:2
    29.05.2024 Chicago Fire - Orlando City 1:1
    20.08.2023 Chicago Fire - Orlando City 1:3
    01.07.2023 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 3:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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