Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (381/475) | 70% (229/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (381/475) | 70% (229/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (30/60) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (110/156) | 64% (91/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Barros Schelotto G. 🟨,
- 30', Aquino D. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
- 35', Robertone L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Losada N. 🟨,
- 67', Godoy D. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 67', Bou W. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Izquierdoz C. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
- 78', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 78', Robertone L. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 82', Medina A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
- 82', Salvio E. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 83', Carrera R. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
- 86', Mammana E. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
- 86', Garcia J. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
- 90', Watson F. N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Guidara T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
41.6% | Draw
31.9% | Lanús
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.3%)The ML Model estimate for Lanús aligns with the current prediction.
Vélez Sársfield - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.25) |
2.94 ↓
(2.95) |
3.53 ↑
(3.33) |
6.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Vélez: Garcia J.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Marcelino Moreno
(Inactive)
Sepulveda M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:3. (average 2.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Lanús?
Vélez Sársfield has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Vélez Sársfield?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Lanús were as follows:
30.08.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Lanús
3:0
21.05.2025
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:0
21.02.2025
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:0
20.11.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Lanús
0:0
04.07.2023
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
