Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (267/339) | 85% (470/550) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (267/339) | 85% (470/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 57% (29/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (93/137) | 69% (72/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Aranda T. 🟨,
- 25', Cuello B. 🟨,
- 30', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Palacios J. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Ascacibar S. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Miguel Merentiel ⚽,
- 58', Palacios J. 🟨,
- 68', Cuello B. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
- 71', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 75', Costa A. 🟨,
- 79', Aranda T. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 84', Palacios J. ↓, Grella S. ↑,
- 87', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Braida M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe
32.1% | Draw
35.6% | Boca Juniors
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.81) |
2.67 ↓
(2.94) |
2.9 ↑
(2.62) |
6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Paz N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Angel Romero
(Injury)
Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Belmonte T.
(Inactive)
Carlos Palacios
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Lower Back Injury)
Gimenez M.
(Groin Injury)
Velasco A.
(Knee Injury)
Zeballos E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Unión: Del Blanco M.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Unión won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Boca Juniors?
Unión Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Unión Santa Fe?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors were as follows:
18.07.2025
Boca Juniors
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:1
29.01.2025
Unión Santa Fe
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
20.11.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:0
06.03.2024
Unión Santa Fe
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
20.10.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Unión Santa Fe
2:1
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
