Loudoun United vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
0:0
03/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.31
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (314/376)91% (438/481)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.061.19
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2016
Passes
84% (314/376)91% (438/481)
Long passes
60% (38/63)62% (21/34)
Passes in final third
66% (74/112)73% (75/103)
Crosses
25% (3/12)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.25
Throw-ins
714
Fouls
1620
Tackles
73% (8/11)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4049
Clearances
1926
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.190.06
Goals prevented
1.190.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 24', Tingey K. 🟨,
  • 32', Ryan Z. 🟥,
  • 44', Zubak E. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Karamoko H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nyeman M. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
  • 46', Karamoko H. ↓, Skundrich D. ↑,
  • 58', Aboukoura A. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
  • 58', MacKinnon L. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
  • 58', Partida K. ↓, Kelly S. ↑,
  • 62', Skundrich D. 🟨,
  • 69', Dambrot R. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
  • 75', Hegardt C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
  • 75', Zubak E. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 78', Kelly S. 🟨,
  • 84', Doghman R. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
  • 85', Bidois R. ↓, Mines B. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
53%		Draw
24.1%		Orange County SC
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 22.2% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 22.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
    •

    Loudoun United - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↓
    (1.74)    		 3.8 ↓
    (4.1)    		 4.02 ↑
    (3.55)    		 9.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Loudoun United - Orange County SC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Loudoun: 45% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Orange County SC (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Loudoun United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Loudoun (votes: 3 - 75%). Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Loudoun has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Loudoun is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Loudoun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Orange County SC were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Orange County SC - Loudoun United 0:2
    07.05.2024 Orange County SC - Loudoun United 1:2
    15.07.2023 Loudoun United - Orange County SC 1:3
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    25.06.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 1:4
    20.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United 3:0 ✺
    14.06.2025 Loudoun United - Detroit City 3:2
    07.06.2025 Loudoun United - Charleston Battery 1:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    14.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:3 ✺
    07.06.2025 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 3:1
    31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2
    24.05.2025 Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:1
    17.05.2025 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:3
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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