Result
1:3
02/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 32
- Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Russia | Match! Premier |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 17 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
- 15', 0 - 2, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
- 25', Tarba Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zhilkin G. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
- 52', Dyatlov I. 🟨,
- 60', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
- 61', Egorychev A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 3, Reyna Y. ⚽,
- 66', Syshchenko M. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
- 67', Tarba Z. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
- 68', Bakaev S. 🟨,
- 70', Reyna Y. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Khubulov A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Magomedov Z. ↓, Konovalov I. ↑,
- 80', Timoshenko I. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
- 82', Maksimenko A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
- 84', Zhigulev I. ↓, Antsiperov D. ↑,
- 87', Khubulov A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
16.6% | Draw
25.3% | Rodina Moscow
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.73 ↑
(4.72) |
3.76 ↑
(3.49) |
1.64 ↓
(1.8) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1.
- Chernomorets has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rodina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Rodina is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Rodina Moscow?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Rodina Moscow has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow were as follows:
21.07.2025
Rodina Moscow
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:1
17.11.2024
Rodina Moscow
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:1
01.09.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Rodina Moscow
2:2
12.11.2023
Rodina Moscow
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
4:0
01.11.2023
Rodina Moscow
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
3:0
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
