Result
1:0 penalties
16/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Cumic N. 🟨,
- 24', Cumic N. 🟨,
- 36', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tataev A. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 61', Apshatsev M. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
- 61', Ivanov O. ↓, Shvets A. ↑,
- 61', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 61', Revazov A. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 68', Jukic A. ↓, Iwu U. ↑,
- 74', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', Bezrukov R. ↓, Rozhkov I. ↑,
- 90', Vedernikov D. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Du Queiroz (Pen),
- 1, Shvets A. (Pen),
- 2, Thompson J. (Pen),
- 2, Hodza V. (Pen),
- 3, Gurluk E. (Pen),
- 3, Siwe J. (Pen),
- 4, Koserik N. (Pen),
- 4, Nizhegorodov K. (Pen),
- 5, Savelyev M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Orenburg
30.8% | Draw
28.3% | Rubin Kazan
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Orenburg - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.8) |
3.39 ↑
(3.25) |
2.34 ↓
(2.5) |
4.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Rubin Kazan?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Orenburg?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
30.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
2:2
31.07.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
2:0
24.05.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Orenburg
4:2
27.10.2024
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
1:2
08.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Rubin Kazan
3:0
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Draw
Regions Path1/32-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Rodina Moscow | |
| 9 | Ulan Ude | Irkutsk | 0 : 8 |
| 10 | Bye | Sibir Novosibirsk | |
| 11 | Anri Vladivostok | KDV Tomsk | 0 : 4 |
| 12 | Bye | Dynamo Vladivostok | |
| 16 | Bye | Chelyabinsk | |
| 17 | Kamaz | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | S. Kostroma | |
| 25 | Znamya Truda | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Dynamo Barnaul | |
| 27 | Omsk | Bye | |
| 28 | Temp Barnaul | Uralets Nizhny Tagil | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | FK Chayka | |
| 33 | Dynamo Vologda | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Dynamo Petersburg | |
| 35 | Tekstilshtik | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Tver | |
| 40 | Bye | Fakel Voronezh | |
| 41 | Dynamo Stavropol | Bye | |
| 42 | Bye | Angust Nazran | |
| 43 | Kuban | Bye | |
| 44 | PSK Dinskoy rayon | Maykop | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Ural | |
| 49 | Tyumen | Bye | |
| 50 | Nosta | Ilpar FC | 2 : 3 |
| 51 | Miass | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | |
| 56 | Bye | Arsenal Tula | |
| 57 | Broke Boys | Oryol | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | Bye | Kursk | |
| 59 | D. Bryansk | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Saturn Ramenskoye | |
| 64 | Bye | Saratov | |
| 65 | Astrakhan | Bye | |
| 66 | Bye | FK Pobeda | |
| 67 | Legion Makhachkala | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Alania Vladikavkaz | |
| 72 | Bye | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | |
| 73 | Mashuk | Bye | |
| 74 | Bye | Spartak Nalchik | |
| 75 | Kholding | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Nart Cherkessk | |
| 80 | Bye | Ulyanovsk | |
| 81 | Spartak Tambov | Bye | |
| 82 | Bye | Lipetsk | |
| 83 | Murom | Bye | |
| 84 | FK Shumbrat Saransk | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | 1 : 3 |
| 88 | Bye | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 89 | Kosmos | Bye | |
| 90 | 2Drots | Vladimir | 1 : 0 |
| 91 | Veles Moscow | Bye | |
| 92 | Znamya Noginsk | Kolomna | 3 : 0 |
| 96 | Bye | R. Volgograd | |
| 97 | Kaluga | Bye | |
| 98 | Amkal Moscow | Kvant | 3 : 1 |
| 99 | Salyut-Belgorod | Bye | |
| 100 | Bye | Ryazan | |
| 104 | Bye | Yenisey | |
| 105 | Kirov | Bye | |
| 106 | FK Fankom (WO.) | Sokol Kazan | |
| 107 | Khimik | Bye | |
| 108 | Bye | Amkar | |
| 112 | Bye | Ufa | |
| 113 | Leningradets | Bye | |
| 114 | Kristall | Luki-Energiya | 1 : 3 |
| 115 | RWChallenge | Zvezda St. Peterburg | 1 : 4 |
| 116 | Leningradets | Cherepovets | 0 : 3 |
| 120 | Bye | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
| 121 | Penza | Bye | |
| 122 | Bye | FK Strogino Moscow | |
| 123 | Volgar-Astrakhan | Bye | |
| 124 | Bye | Chertanovo M. | |
| 128 | Bye | Neftekhimik | |
1/16-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Rodina Moscow | |
| 5 | Irkutsk | Sibir Novosibirsk | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | KDV Tomsk | Dynamo Vladivostok | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Chelyabinsk | |
| 9 | Kamaz | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | S. Kostroma | |
| 13 | Znamya Truda | Dynamo Barnaul | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Omsk | Temp Barnaul | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | FK Chayka | |
| 17 | Dynamo Vologda | Dynamo Petersburg | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | Tver | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Fakel Voronezh | |
| 21 | Dynamo Stavropol | Angust Nazran | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Kuban | PSK Dinskoy rayon | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Ural | |
| 25 | Tyumen | Ilpar FC | 4 : 1 |
| 26 | Miass | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Arsenal Tula | |
| 29 | Broke Boys | Kursk | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | D. Bryansk | Saturn Ramenskoye | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Saratov | |
| 33 | Astrakhan | FK Pobeda | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Legion Makhachkala | Alania Vladikavkaz | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | |
| 37 | Mashuk | Spartak Nalchik | 1 : 0 |
| 38 | Kholding | Nart Cherkessk | 1 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ulyanovsk | |
| 41 | Spartak Tambov | Lipetsk | 2 : 1 |
| 42 | Murom | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | 2 : 3 |
| 44 | Bye | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 45 | Kosmos | 2Drots | 1 : 0 |
| 46 | Veles Moscow | Znamya Noginsk | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | R. Volgograd | |
| 49 | Kaluga | Amkal Moscow | 0 : 1 |
| 50 | Salyut-Belgorod | Ryazan | 3 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Yenisey | |
| 53 | Kirov | FK Fankom | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Khimik | Amkar | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Ufa | |
| 57 | Leningradets | Luki-Energiya | 0 : 2 |
| 58 | Zvezda St. Peterburg | Cherepovets | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
| 61 | Penza | FK Strogino Moscow | 1 : 0 |
| 62 | Volgar-Astrakhan | Chertanovo M. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Neftekhimik | |
1/8-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Rodina Moscow | |
| 3 | Irkutsk | KDV Tomsk | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Chelyabinsk | |
| 5 | Kamaz | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | S. Kostroma | |
| 7 | Znamya Truda | Temp Barnaul | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | FK Chayka | |
| 9 | Dynamo Vologda | Tekstilshtik | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Fakel Voronezh | |
| 11 | Dynamo Stavropol | PSK Dinskoy rayon | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Ural | |
| 13 | Tyumen | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Arsenal Tula | |
| 15 | Broke Boys | Saturn Ramenskoye | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Saratov | |
| 17 | Astrakhan | Legion Makhachkala | 5 : 2 |
| 18 | Bye | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | |
| 19 | Mashuk | Kholding | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Ulyanovsk | |
| 21 | Spartak Tambov | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Bye | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 23 | Kosmos | Veles Moscow | 1 : 4 |
| 24 | Bye | R. Volgograd | |
| 25 | Amkal Moscow | Salyut-Belgorod | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Yenisey | |
| 27 | FK Fankom | Khimik | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Ufa | |
| 29 | Luki-Energiya | Cherepovets | 2 : 4 |
| 30 | Bye | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
| 31 | Penza | Volgar-Astrakhan | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Neftekhimik | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Rodina Moscow | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Irkutsk | Chelyabinsk | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Kamaz | S. Kostroma | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Znamya Truda | FK Chayka | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Tekstilshtik | Fakel Voronezh | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | PSK Dinskoy rayon | Ural | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | Arsenal Tula | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Broke Boys | Saratov | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Astrakhan | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Kholding | Ulyanovsk | 3 : 2 |
| 11 | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | Torpedo Moscow | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Veles Moscow | R. Volgograd | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Amkal Moscow | Yenisey | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | FK Fankom | Ufa | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Cherepovets | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | Volgar-Astrakhan | Neftekhimik | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rodina Moscow | Chelyabinsk | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Kamaz | FK Chayka | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Fakel Voronezh | Ural | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Arsenal Tula | Saratov | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | Kholding | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | Veles Moscow | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Yenisey | Ufa | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Neftekhimik | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chelyabinsk | Kamaz | |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | Arsenal Tula | |
| 3 | Kholding | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 4 | Ufa | Neftekhimik | |
