Result
1:1
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Tubi TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (431/489) | 71% (177/248) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 53 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (431/489) | 71% (177/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (22/32) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (174/209) | 52% (35/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (12/43) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 54% (15/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Perraud R. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽,
- 35', Seko A. 🟨,
- 43', Meunier T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 65', Boufal S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
- 65', Doucoure F. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 66', Mukau N. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 74', Soumare I. 🟨,
- 74', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
- 74', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 75', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
- 85', Bouaddi A. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 85', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 88', Samatta A. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille
67.8% | Draw
20.3% | Le Havre
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Lille - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.44) |
4.7 ↑
(4.27) |
8.09 ↑
(7.41) |
4.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Le Havre will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 63.4% – 93.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 4.
- Lille has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Le Havre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lille is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Broholm M.
(Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Sangante A.
(Red Card)
Toure A.
(Knee Injury)
Zagadou S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Injury)
Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Ndiaye R.
(Thigh Injury)
- We predict that Lille will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Le Havre?
Lille has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Lille?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Le Havre were as follows:
30.11.2025
Le Havre
-
Lille
0:1
08.02.2025
Lille
-
Le Havre
1:2
28.09.2024
Le Havre
-
Lille
0:3
17.02.2024
Lille
-
Le Havre
3:0
01.10.2023
Le Havre
-
Lille
0:2
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
