Indy Eleven vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
23/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Rodriguez C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Sun
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.74
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
71% (189/268)78% (290/371)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.28
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
71% (189/268)78% (290/371)
Long passes
43% (26/61)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
59% (59/100)61% (67/110)
Crosses
14% (4/28)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.75
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
1715
Tackles
68% (13/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5559
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.281.77
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Blanco S. , Gavilanes A. ,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Vazquez C. (A),
  • 28', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 35', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
  • 39', Romero M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Murphy J. , Lindley C. ,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Hogan P. , Lindley C. (A),
  • 64', Cardona N. , Veron D. ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Blake J. , Foster M. (A),
  • 71', Melano L. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 71', Ricketts J. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 72', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
  • 77', Knutson D. 🟨,
  • 79', Foster M. , Collier E. ,
  • 87', Kizza E. , Soumaoro B. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Hoyos K. ,
  • 90+6', Campisi N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
51.7%
Draw
25%
Miami
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 22.9% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 22.2% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indy Eleven's form might have worsened.
  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indy Eleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Indy Eleven - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.62)
    3.7
    (4.05)
    3.96
    (4.72)
    8.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Indy is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Miami were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    15.03.2025 Miami - Indy Eleven 1:3
    28.09.2024 Indy Eleven - Miami 4:0
    12.05.2024 Miami - Indy Eleven 1:3
    02.09.2023 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Miami
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

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