Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.340.64
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (351/420)67% (157/236)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.340.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.98
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
84% (351/420)67% (157/236)
Long passes
56% (35/62)31% (18/59)
Passes in final third
72% (68/94)57% (52/92)
Crosses
9% (1/11)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.47
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1313
Tackles
53% (8/15)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
3817
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.980.08
Goals prevented
-0.020.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. , Perez E. (A),
  • 11', Dia A. 🟨,
  • 16', Perez E. , Davila E. ,
  • 22', Herrera C. , Burke J. ,
  • 26', Fjeldberg J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Goodrum P. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Johnson L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dia A. , Morris J. ,
  • 46', Tejada J. , Huerman Q. ,
  • 46', Foster I. , Ward A. ,
  • 64', Fjeldberg J. , Hanya Y. ,
  • 64', Fontana A. , Adams C. ,
  • 68', Davila T. , Moguel C. ,
  • 68', Morris J. , Gleadle S. ,
  • 85', Wilson J. , Dayes B. ,
  • 90+1', Ward A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Colorado Springs Switchbacks
32.7%
Draw
26.7%
Louisville City
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 26.5% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 25.5% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colorado Springs Switchbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Springs Switchbacks's performance.
  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Springs Switchbacks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (3.94)
    3.43
    (3.46)
    2.25
    (1.82)
    9.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City?
  • Users Predictions: Louisville City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Louisville City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Colorado Springs is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colorado Springs won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colorado Springs won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City were as follows:
    19.07.2024 Louisville City - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2:1
    02.09.2023 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City 2:3
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)