Lechia Gdańsk vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk).

Ekstraklasa - Round 17
Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.98	0.86
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
86% (442/512)	81% (341/421)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.98	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
4.24	1.18
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
7	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
37	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
86% (442/512)	81% (341/421)
Long passes
67% (22/33)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
73% (115/157)	66% (69/105)
Crosses
43% (9/21)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.96	0.26
Throw-ins
14	16
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
77% (17/22)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
53	39
Clearances
19	20
Interceptions
9	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.18	4.24
Goals prevented
0.18	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', Isik G. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Bobcek T. (Pen),
32', 1 - 1, Jimenez J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Kapic R. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
40', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 3 - 1, Bobcek T. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
58', Guerrero S. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
58', Fassbender M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
59', Masoero L. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
61', 4 - 1, Rodin M. ⚽, Zhelizko I. (A),
65', 5 - 1, Dyachuk M. ⚽, Rodin M. (A),
73', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
74', Bobcek T. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
74', Sezonienko K. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
75', Mena C. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
80', Kapic R. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
80', Kurzawa R. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
87', Neugebauer T. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
89', Jimenez J. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lechia Gdańsk
56.2%

Draw
23.3%

Termalica Nieciecza
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Gdańsk's performance.

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Lechia Gdańsk - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	4.05 ↑ (3.21)	4.54 ↑ (3.76)	6.2% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Termalica Nieciecza?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lechia Gdańsk will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Termalica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lechia is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Lechia: Jaunzems A. (Muscle Injury) Paulsen A. (Inactive) Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Termalica: Kubica K. (Yellow Cards) Zapolnik K. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Termalica Nieciecza?

Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Lechia Gdańsk?

Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:

14.04.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Termalica Nieciecza 3:1

01.10.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Lechia Gdańsk 0:0

Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk

22.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺

03.11.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺

29.10.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk 1:3 ✺

26.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza

21.11.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 1:2 ✺

31.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice 0:3 ✺

24.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1 ✺

20.10.2025 Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza 3:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	22	10	8	4	39:26	13	38
2	Zaglebie	23	10	8	5	37:27	10	38
3	Lech Poznan	23	10	8	5	40:34	6	38
4	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	4	9	33:31	2	34
5	Rakow	23	10	4	9	31:29	2	34
6	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	29:25	4	33
7	Wisla Plock	23	8	9	6	24:20	4	33
8	Pogon Szczecin	23	9	4	10	33:35	-2	31
9	Korona Kielce	23	8	6	9	27:26	1	30
10	GKS Katowice	22	9	3	10	31:32	-1	30
11	Motor Lublin	23	7	9	7	32:37	-5	30
12	Radomiak Radom	22	7	8	7	37:34	3	29
13	Piast Gliwice	23	8	5	10	26:28	-2	29
14	Lechia Gdansk	23	9	6	8	46:45	1	28
15	Arka Gdynia	22	7	5	10	21:38	-17	26
16	Legia	23	5	10	8	27:29	-2	25
17	Widzew Lodz	23	7	3	13	29:33	-4	24
18	Termalica B-B	23	5	7	11	27:40	-13	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1