Result
03/05/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
61.8% | Draw
22.4% | Varaždin
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Hajduk Split - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.55) |
4.16 ↑
(3.93) |
5.84 ↑
(5.56) |
8.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Hajduk is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 1.
- In recent matches, Hajduk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Varaždin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Varaždin?
Hajduk Split has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Hajduk Split?
Varaždin has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Varaždin were as follows:
28.02.2026
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
29.11.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
1:1
13.09.2025
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
2:0
18.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
08.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
1:0
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
