Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.94	1.89
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
1	7
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
7	2
Passes
80% (249/311)	77% (260/336)
Yellow cards
3	6
Expected goals (xG)
0.94	1.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.13	1.42
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
11	3
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
9	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
18	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
12	10
Passes
80% (249/311)	77% (260/336)
Long passes
42% (22/53)	48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
71% (77/108)	61% (55/90)
Crosses
12% (3/26)	50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.37
Throw ins
14	17
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
67% (8/12)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
33	35
Clearances
11	26
Interceptions
3	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	0
xGOT faced
1.42	0.13
Goals prevented
-0.58	-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Parra N. 🟨,
20', Casco M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽, Bello E. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽,
32', Gil N. 🟨,
44', Caicedo J. 🟨,
45+2', Cardona E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Estupinan A. 🟨,
59', Roman A. 🟨,
63', Morelos A. 🟨,
65', Perlaza J. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
65', Chavez D. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
67', Sarmiento A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
73', Morelos A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
76', Caicedo J. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Rengifo J. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
84', Garavito M. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
87', Cardona E. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
87', Bello E. ↓, Arango C. ↑,
88', Rengifo J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5yst9vsa

Chances of winning

Deportivo Pasto
31.2%

Draw
29.1%

Atlético Nacional
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.35)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)	6.6% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 41.6% – 98.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 0.
Deportivo Pasto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Atlético Nacional?

Deportivo Pasto has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Pasto?

Atlético Nacional has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional were as follows:

18.10.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional 2:2

29.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto 3:0

05.12.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto 2:1

24.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional 0:1

05.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional 1:2

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

24.03.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto 1:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó 2:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 4:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali 2:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Nacional

25.03.2026 Cruz Azul - Atlético Nacional 3:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá 3:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 3:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA 2:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional 0:4 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	7	35
3	Dep. Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	4	34
4	America De Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	7	29
8	Inter Bogotu00e1	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Dep. Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	8	26
11	Ind. Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	2	26
12	Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )