San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.92
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
55
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
43
Passes
75% (252/336)83% (371/449)
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.44
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
69
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1514
Passes
75% (252/336)83% (371/449)
Long passes
39% (27/70)58% (32/55)
Passes in final third
66% (60/91)72% (86/120)
Crosses
28% (5/18)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.74
Throw ins
1213
Fouls
1415
Tackles
58% (14/24)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.440.47
Goals prevented
0.44-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Insaurralde M. , Barrios N. (A),
  • 18', Gulli F. 🟨,
  • 21', Piovi L. 🟨,
  • 26', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 34', Meza E. 🟨,
  • 36', De Ritis M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', De Ritis M. , Rodriguez Pagano T. ,
  • 55', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 57', Gulli F. , Perruzzi I. ,
  • 57', Barrios N. , Reali M. ,
  • 65', Palacios T. 🟥,
  • 66', Insaurralde M. , Abrego G. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez G. , Auzmendi R. ,
  • 67', Castro A. , Nunez S. ,
  • 67', Piovi L. , Gabriel Neves ,
  • 68', Nunez S. 🟨,
  • 79', Farias F. , Dominguez F. ,
  • 79', Mancuso E. , Benedetti G. ,
  • 86', Montenegro L. 🟨,
  • 90', Tripichio N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
27.4%
Draw
34%
Estudiantes La Plata
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 33.5% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 33.9% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (3)
    2.79
    (2.75)
    2.46
    (2.59)
    5.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - San Lorenzo (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cerutti E. (Knee Injury) Cordoba A. (Muscle Injury) Hernandez G. (Knee Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Foot Injury) Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Benedetti G. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    05.11.2024 San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    13.02.2024 San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    20.09.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo 0:0
    21.06.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo 1:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

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