Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 8
- Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (333/418) | 80% (346/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (333/418) | 80% (346/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (107/148) | 74% (75/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kongolo R. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
- 46', Quispel F. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
- 59', Claridge A. 🟥,
- 63', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
- 64', Mulder P. 🟨,
- 69', Evina F. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
- 72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 84', Coomans W. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
- 86', Everink L. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
- 87', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
- 87', Kuipers M. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Schenk L. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2te4293e
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht 32.2% | Draw 27.8% | Emmen 40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
MVV Maastricht - Emmen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.98 ↑ (2.6) |
3.38 ↓ (3.72) |
2.43 (2.43) |
4.4% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Emmen?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Emmen (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Emmen (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Emmen will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emmen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Emmen (votes: 7 - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
- Maastricht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Emmen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Maastricht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Emmen: Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Braken S.
(Injury)
Dicke F.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Emmen?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against MVV Maastricht?
Emmen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Emmen were as follows:
28.03.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:2
04.10.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
12.04.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:3
06.11.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 59:29 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 51:46 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Almere City | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Roda | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 43:37 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | De Graafschap | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:40 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Willem II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 45:46 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Jong Utrecht | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 44:46 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Venlo | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 34:39 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:44 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40:44 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Maastricht | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 16 | Oss | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 26 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Helmond | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 26 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 20 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )