Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 14
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	0.83
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
67% (219/327)	64% (181/281)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	0.44
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
26	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
15	15
Passes
67% (219/327)	64% (181/281)
Long passes
21% (18/84)	27% (20/74)
Passes in final third
54% (67/124)	44% (37/85)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.65
Throw-ins
28	25
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
67% (8/12)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
60	57
Clearances
33	45
Interceptions
2	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.44	1.25
Goals prevented
-1.56	-1.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Walker J. ⚽, Amaluzor J. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Walker J. ⚽, Amaluzor J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
79', O'Reilly T. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
79', Thomas C. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
79', Kabia J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
80', Amaluzor J. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
86', Finney C. ↓, Hutchinson R. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Tezgel E. ⚽, Sanders M. H. (A),
87', Tezgel E. 🟨,
89', Sweeney J. 🟨,
90', Warren T. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
90', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
90+2', Lunt O. ↓, Golding J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
34.9%

Draw
28.4%

Grimsby Town
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.55)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)	2.56 ↓ (2.68)	6.4% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Crewe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Crewe: March J. (Inactive) Powell J. (Groin Injury) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Grimsby Town?

Crewe Alexandra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Crewe Alexandra?

Grimsby Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town were as follows:

01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 2:0

14.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:2

13.04.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 0:3

09.12.2023 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:1

04.02.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 0:3

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

18.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 3:0 ✺

14.10.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Liverpool U21 2:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Bromley 0:1 ✺

06.10.2025 Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

18.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers 0:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Salford City - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League