Result
3:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 35
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/439) | 86% (452/528) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.74 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/439) | 86% (452/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 28% (13/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (58/99) | 62% (64/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 3.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Mehmeti A. ⚽,
- 39', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Azon I. ⚽, Davis L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Yalcouye M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
- 55', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
- 55', Eom J. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 61', Nunez M. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 61', Neil D. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
- 69', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
- 69', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Hirst G. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
- 75', Gustavo Nunes ↓, Walta L. ↑,
- 76', Widell M. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 83', Matusiwa A. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ipswich Town 59.2% | Draw 23.5% | Swansea City 17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Ipswich Town - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.62) |
4.05 ↓ (4.12) |
5.44 ↑ (5.12) |
5.3% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Swansea (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ipswich Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 3 - 75%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Recent performances by Ipswich have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Swansea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ipswich is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Ipswich: Philogene J.
(Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
Young A.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Swansea City?
Ipswich Town has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Ipswich Town?
Swansea City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Swansea City were as follows:
08.11.2025
Swansea City
-
Ipswich Town
1:4
17.02.2024
Swansea City
-
Ipswich Town
1:2
11.11.2023
Ipswich Town
-
Swansea City
3:2
Latest results of Ipswich Town
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One