Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (478/545) | 71% (184/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (478/545) | 71% (184/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 24% (11/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (93/132) | 58% (49/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Ciervo R. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
- 61', Adorante A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 61', Hainaut A. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
- 61', Schingtienne J. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
- 62', Ciervo R. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
- 63', Busio G. 🟨,
- 70', Franjic B. ↓, Sverko M. ↑,
- 71', Castagnetti M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
- 71', Shpendi C. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 2, Mangraviti M. ⚽,
- 77', Yeboah J. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Busio G. (Pen),
- 84', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 84', Mangraviti M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
- 90+1', Sverko M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Duncan A. 🟥,
- 90+8', Bisoli D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Doumbia I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Venezia
46.3% | Draw
29.7% | Cesena
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Venezia - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(2.01) |
3.15 ↓
(3.29) |
3.94 ↑
(3.71) |
5.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Venezia - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Venezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Venezia: Conde C.
(Broken Leg)
Pietrelli A.
(Inactive)
Svoboda M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Zamagni D.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Cesena?
Venezia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Venezia?
Cesena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Cesena were as follows:
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palermo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Cesena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Modena | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Monza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Juve Stabia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Carrarese | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Entella | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Venezia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Empoli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Catanzaro | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Avellino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Mantova | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Spezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Pescara | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Padova | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Bari | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
