Cesena vs Bari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena).

Serie B - Round 21
Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.36	0.41
Ball possession
63%	37%
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
8	4
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
16	1
Passes
86% (442/515)	78% (248/318)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.36	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.40	1.12
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
8	1
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
16	1
Touches in opposition box
36	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
11	10
Passes
86% (442/515)	78% (248/318)
Long passes
50% (27/54)	33% (13/39)
Passes in final third
79% (156/198)	65% (41/63)
Crosses
17% (8/46)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.18	0.19
Throw ins
24	18
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
43% (3/7)	33% (5/15)
Duels won
39	39
Clearances
16	47
Interceptions
14	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.12	1.40
Goals prevented
-0.88	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Cistana A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Rao E. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
60', 1 - 1, Ciervo R. ⚽, Shpendi C. (A),
63', Rao E. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
63', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
69', Mane M. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
72', De Pieri G. 🟨,
73', Bisoli D. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
74', Magni V. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Moncini G. ⚽, Nikolaou D. (A),
80', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
81', Mangraviti M. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
81', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
81', Verreth M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
82', De Pieri G. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
82', Moncini G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cesena
57%

Draw
25.9%

Bari
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Cesena - Bari Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	3.63 ↑ (3.43)	5.47 ↑ (4.49)	6.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cesena - Bari?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Cesena (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Cesena (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cesena will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cesena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 0.
Recent performances by Cesena have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bari's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Cesena is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Bari: Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Bari?

Cesena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Cesena?

Bari has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Bari were as follows:

02.11.2025 Bari - Cesena 1:0

25.01.2025 Cesena - Bari 1:1

07.12.2024 Bari - Cesena 1:0

Latest results of Cesena

17.01.2026 Reggiana - Cesena 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Cesena - Empoli 0:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Catanzaro - Cesena 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Cesena - Juve Stabia 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Cesena - Mantova 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Bari

17.01.2026 Bari - Juve Stabia 0:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Carrarese - Bari 1:0 ✺

27.12.2025 Bari - Avellino 1:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Bari - Catanzaro 1:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	36	23	9	4	73:29	44	78
2	Monza	36	22	9	5	57:27	30	75
3	Frosinone	36	21	12	3	70:34	36	75
4	Palermo	36	19	12	5	58:29	29	69
5	Catanzaro ✔	36	15	14	7	58:45	13	59
6	Modena ✔	36	14	10	12	47:34	13	52
7	Juve Stabia	36	11	17	8	43:43	0	50
8	Avellino	36	12	10	14	42:54	-12	46
9	Cesena	36	12	9	15	42:52	-10	45
10	Carrarese	36	10	13	13	46:50	-4	43
11	Mantova	36	12	7	17	42:50	-8	43
12	Sampdoria	36	10	11	15	34:47	-13	41
13	Sudtirol	36	8	16	12	37:46	-9	40
14	Padova	36	10	10	16	34:46	-12	40
15	Entella	36	9	12	15	34:48	-14	39
16	Empoli	36	8	13	15	44:52	-8	37
17	Pescara	36	7	13	16	50:64	-14	34
18	Bari	36	8	10	18	33:58	-25	34
19	Reggiana	36	8	10	18	34:54	-20	34
20	Spezia	36	8	9	19	40:56	-16	33

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)