Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 11
Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	1.42
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	16
Shots on target
6	7
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
82% (359/436)	84% (310/371)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
3.00	2.86
Total shots
12	16
Shots on target
6	7
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	12
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
29	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
82% (359/436)	84% (310/371)
Long passes
48% (31/65)	54% (31/57)
Passes in final third
64% (68/107)	68% (73/108)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.54	0.70
Throw-ins
14	21
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
50% (6/12)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
49	37
Clearances
18	28
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
2.86	3.00
Goals prevented
0.86	-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Bouziane W. ⚽,
25', Inge K. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
34', Daneels L. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Daneels L. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ogenia J. ↓, Leipold A. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Bajrami L. (Pen),
56', Budko B. 🟨,
56', 3 - 2, Bajrami L. ⚽, Daneels L. (A),
58', Budko B. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
58', 4 - 2, Makanza N. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
69', Twisk N. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
69', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
69', Toppenberg K. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
70', Daneels L. 🟨,
77', Vos D. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
77', Essakkati T. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
82', Bajrami L. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
88', Poll T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
47.1%

Draw
26%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Jong AZ Alkmaar aligns with the current prediction.

Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.37)	5.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Jong AZ (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Helmond Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Helmond Sport has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Helmond Sport?

Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:

26.01.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1

18.10.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 2:3

11.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:1

10.11.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 2:1

23.01.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 1:1

Latest results of Helmond Sport

03.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Almere City 2:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0 ✺

26.09.2025 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Vitesse - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar

03.10.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag 0:4 ✺

30.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:0 ✺

26.09.2025 Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺

22.09.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 1:3 ✺

15.09.2025 Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	33	25	2	6	74:32	42	77
2	Cambuur	33	22	7	4	70:39	31	73
3	Willem II	32	15	8	9	50:38	12	53
4	De Graafschap	32	15	7	10	59:51	8	52
5	Almere City	33	16	4	13	68:53	15	52
6	Jong PSV	33	15	5	13	62:58	4	50
7	Waalwijk	33	13	9	11	56:50	6	48
8	Roda	33	12	12	9	51:48	3	48
9	Den Bosch	33	13	7	13	58:59	-1	46
10	Dordrecht	33	11	10	12	44:46	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	32	12	4	16	46:57	-11	40
12	Jong Utrecht	33	10	9	14	51:55	-4	39
13	Venlo	33	11	5	17	41:51	-10	38
14	FC Emmen	32	10	7	15	50:60	-10	37
15	Vitesse	33	13	9	11	51:49	2	36
16	Maastricht	33	9	9	15	39:66	-27	36
17	Jong AZ	33	10	4	19	57:66	-9	34
18	Helmond	33	9	7	17	38:57	-19	34
19	Jong Ajax	33	8	8	17	45:59	-14	32
20	Oss	33	7	11	15	41:57	-16	32

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Clinched Spots for Teams

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