Result
1:0
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 38
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (207/279) | 88% (535/611) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (207/279) | 88% (535/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 68% (45/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (56/95) | 78% (145/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 24% (9/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', van de Wetering M. 🟨,
- 22', van Veen K. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Muller T. ↓, van Berkel N. ↑,
- 61', Geerts J. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 61', Zimuangana O. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 63', van Schuppen B. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
- 63', Blummel S. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 0, Absalem A. (Own goal),
- 80', van de Wetering M. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 83', Llonch P. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
- 90', Simons T. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
- 90+1', Dekkers S. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
Chances of winning
FC Eindhoven 44.6% | Draw 25.3% | Helmond Sport 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Helmond Sport's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Helmond Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (1.79) |
3.67 ↓ (3.87) |
3.11 ↓ (3.92) |
7% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
FC Eindhoven will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.
- FC Eindhoven has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Helmond Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, FC Eindhoven is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in FC Eindhoven: Brondeel J.
(Broken Leg)
Bryson A.
(Red Card)
Neeskens J.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has FC Eindhoven won against Helmond Sport?
FC Eindhoven has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against FC Eindhoven?
Helmond Sport has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport were as follows:
26.09.2025
Helmond Sport
-
FC Eindhoven
1:0
28.03.2025
FC Eindhoven
-
Helmond Sport
2:2
22.11.2024
Helmond Sport
-
FC Eindhoven
3:4
03.05.2024
Helmond Sport
-
FC Eindhoven
2:0
20.10.2023
FC Eindhoven
-
Helmond Sport
1:2
Latest results of FC Eindhoven
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )