Crewe Alexandra vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 21
Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	1.40
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
60% (143/238)	77% (318/413)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	1.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	1.23
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
3	8
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
18	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
20	10
Passes
60% (143/238)	77% (318/413)
Long passes
29% (21/73)	42% (35/84)
Passes in final third
46% (43/94)	62% (86/138)
Crosses
42% (8/19)	27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	0.51
Throw-ins
24	24
Fouls
10	20
Tackles
75% (6/8)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
59	41
Clearances
39	29
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.23	1.02
Goals prevented
0.23	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Tezgel E. ⚽, Hutchinson R. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Morton C. ⚽, Kilgour A. (A),
30', Mola C. 🟨,
30', Thibaut A. 🟥,
33', Tezgel E. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
36', Sparkes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Connolly J. 🟨,
57', Cavegn F. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
60', Southwood L. 🟨,
60', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
73', Thomas L. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
73', Chang A. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
77', Morton C. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
81', Lunt O. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
81', March J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
49%

Draw
26.8%

Bristol Rovers
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

22.3%

28.8%

Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.88)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)	3.86 ↓ (3.87)	6.6% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Crewe (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crewe Alexandra will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 9 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bristol Rovers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bristol Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Crewe might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Crewe: Armstrong O. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Lopata K. (Red Card) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O. (Calf Injury) Demetriou M. (Inactive) Golding J. (Inactive) Holicek M. (Inactive) Lankester J. (Knee Injury) Thomas C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Bristol Rovers?

Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Crewe Alexandra?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

12.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers 2:4

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

13.12.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 1:4 ✺

10.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 2:2 ✺

03.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County 1:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

13.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town 0:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Port Vale - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

02.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United 3:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Notts County 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League