Result
1:0
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 10
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (157/225) | 85% (441/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (157/225) | 85% (441/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/64) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 73% (151/206) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 10% (3/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Bozzolan A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Beyuku G. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
- 46', Magnino L. ↓, Gerli F. ↑,
- 58', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 59', Sersanti A. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
- 61', Nieling B. 🟨,
- 64', Charlys 🟨,
- 70', Di Mariano F. 🟨,
- 71', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 72', Nieling B. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 79', Tavsan E. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
- 85', Portanova M. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 85', Marras M. ↓, Bonetti S. ↑,
- 90+3', Bonetti S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Tonoli D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mfyxasvr
Chances of winning
Reggiana
23.1% | Draw
27.9% | Modena
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Reggiana - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(3.47) |
3.35 ↑
(3.3) |
1.93 ↓
(2.06) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Modena?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Modena will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 38.8% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2.
- Reggiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Modena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Modena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Modena is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Girma N.
(Inactive)
Quaranta D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Reinhart T.
(Inactive)
Rozzio P.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Seculin A.
(Health problems)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Modena: Cotali M.
(Inactive)
Pergreffi A.
(Inactive)
Ponsi F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Modena?
Reggiana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Reggiana?
Modena has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Modena were as follows:
01.05.2025
Modena
-
Reggiana
2:3
14.12.2024
Reggiana
-
Modena
0:1
01.05.2024
Reggiana
-
Modena
1:0
02.12.2023
Modena
-
Reggiana
2:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
