Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (369/456) | 81% (356/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (369/456) | 81% (356/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (78/124) | 72% (116/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 20% (2/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Marconi I. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Del Lungo T. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Tonoli D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Nieling B. 🟨,
- 57', Del Lungo T. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
- 57', Marconi I. ↓, Tiritiello A. ↑,
- 62', Guiu B. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 63', Benedetti L. ↓, Squizzato N. ↑,
- 69', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
- 69', Gliozzi E. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
- 69', Defrel G. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
- 74', Wiafe S. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
- 77', Karic N. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 1, Karic N. ⚽,
- 85', Karic N. 🟨,
- 87', Cuppone L. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
- 87', Nieling B. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Virtus Entella
27.1% | Draw
30.8% | Modena
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Virtus Entella - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↓
(3.71) |
3.06 ↓
(3.15) |
2.24 ↑
(2.04) |
6.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Modena?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Modena will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 17% – 68.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Modena (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Virtus Entella (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Modena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3.
- Virtus Entella has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Modena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Modena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Modena might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Modena: Pyyhtia N.
(Inactive)
Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Modena?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Virtus Entella?
Modena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Modena were as follows:
05.10.2025
Modena
-
Virtus Entella
2:0
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
