Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Ribeiro A. ⚽,
- 24', Bosch M. 🟨,
- 30', Sanz H. 🟨,
- 36', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 39', 🟨,
- 40', 🟨,
- 45+2', Coto E. 🟥,
- 45+6', 0 - 2, Abelenda B. ⚽,
- 45+11', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
- 46', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
- 61', Sanz H. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 61', Carmona F. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
- 67', 🟨,
- 70', Resende J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 75', Aranzabe A. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', Ribeiro A. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
- 80', Abelenda B. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 2, Vazquez K. ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF 17.6% | Draw 24.7% | Pontevedra 57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+21.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-26.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ourense CF - Pontevedra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.37 ↑ (2.33) |
5.7 ↑ (3.03) |
2.15 ↓ (2.94) |
-24% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Ourense CF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pontevedra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pontevedra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Pontevedra?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontevedra won against Ourense CF?
Pontevedra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Pontevedra were as follows:
21.04.2024
Pontevedra
-
Ourense CF
0:2
09.12.2023
Ourense CF
-
Pontevedra
0:0
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Pontevedra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Barakaldo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Aviles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | CF Talavera | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lugo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Guadalajara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 13 | Cacereno | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Arenteiro | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Unionistas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | Osasuna B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 | Merida AD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 | Ath Bilbao B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Ourense CF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation