Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

: J1 League - Round 20

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	0.93
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
16	17
Shots on target
8	6
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
82% (306/375)	83% (471/566)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
3.35	0.74
Total shots
16	17
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
7	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
30	41
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
82% (306/375)	83% (471/566)
Long passes
38% (16/42)	50% (34/68)
Passes in final third
77% (113/146)	82% (187/229)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.67	1.14
Throw-ins
22	13
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
25% (2/8)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
37	50
Clearances
29	20
Interceptions
11	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	8
xGOT faced
0.74	3.35
Goals prevented
0.74	3.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Nakahara H. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
63', Kitagawa K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
65', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
65', Mitsuta M. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
65', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
73', Capixaba ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
76', Matsuzaki K. 🟨,
80', Lavi N. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
80', Inui T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
80', Uno Z. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
87', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
90+5', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
90+7', Kurata S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
35.5%

Draw
28.6%

Gamba Osaka
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)	6.9% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
Recent performances by Shimizu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gamba Osaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Gamba Osaka?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

08.03.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

11.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Matsumoto Yamaga 4:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2 ✺

21.05.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka 3:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	23	12	8	3	31:20	11	44
2	Vissel Kobe	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
3	Kyoto	23	12	5	6	38:27	11	41
4	Kashima Antlers	23	13	2	8	33:22	11	41
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	23	12	3	8	27:18	9	39
6	Kawasaki Frontale	23	10	8	5	37:24	13	38
7	Machida	23	11	4	8	33:25	8	37
8	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	23	9	6	8	34:30	4	33
10	Gamba Osaka	23	9	4	10	27:30	-3	31
11	Okayama	23	8	6	9	19:20	-1	30
12	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
13	Nagoya Grampus	23	7	7	9	28:30	-2	28
14	Verdy	23	7	7	9	15:23	-8	28
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	23	7	6	10	27:32	-5	27
16	FC Tokyo	23	7	5	11	24:32	-8	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	22	6	5	11	16:30	-14	23
18	Yokohama FC	23	5	4	14	14:28	-14	19
19	Albirex Niigata	23	4	7	12	24:39	-15	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	23	4	6	13	20:32	-12	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan