Result
2:0
10/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (173/253) | 82% (355/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (173/253) | 82% (355/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (46/92) | 73% (116/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Quiros A. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Torres M. ⚽, Piedrahita A. (A),
- 41', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 45+5', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Panaro M. ↓, Merlo J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Merlo J. ⚽, Piedrahita A. (A),
- 69', Merlo J. 🟨,
- 70', Carrizo M. 🟨,
- 72', Giampaoli R. ↓, German Conti ↑,
- 72', Torres M. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
- 74', Godoy D. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
- 74', Bouzat A. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 74', Gomez E. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 76', Piedrahita A. 🟨,
- 79', Max A. ↓, Aguiar P. ↑,
- 79', Merlini B. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 88', Carrizo M. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 88', Gordon J. ↓, Andrada I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gimnasia La Plata
26.1% | Draw
31.9% | Vélez Sársfield
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↑
(3.35) |
2.99 ↑
(2.73) |
2.28 ↓
(2.47) |
4.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Vélez will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 18.5% – 61.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Vélez is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
Garayalde N.
(Inactive)
Lomonaco S.
(Inactive)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Melluso M.
(Inactive)
Sosa A.
(Inactive)
Suso G.
(Yellow Cards)
Villarreal S.
(Inactive)
Yangali J.
(Inactive)
Zalazar M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T.
(Muscle Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
Mammana E.
(Ankle Injury)
Roldan L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gimnasia La Plata: Pintado J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Vélez Sársfield?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Vélez Sársfield has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
28.04.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
1:0
13.05.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:1
09.02.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
13.09.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
30.01.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
