Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.501.09
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
74
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
38
Passes
61% (187/308)65% (198/305)
Yellow cards
55
Expected goals (xG)
1.501.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.62
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
77
Blocked shots
48
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
69
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1411
Passes
61% (187/308)65% (198/305)
Long passes
30% (24/79)28% (20/71)
Passes in final third
58% (89/154)46% (41/89)
Crosses
48% (10/21)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.17
Throw ins
2130
Fouls
1114
Tackles
79% (15/19)35% (6/17)
Duels won
8365
Clearances
4542
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
46
xGOT faced
0.621.85
Goals prevented
0.620.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Rafferty J. , Yearwood D. (A),
  • 15', Baptiste J. 🟨,
  • 28', Harding W. 🟨,
  • 29', Benson J. 🟨,
  • 33', Martha A. 🟨,
  • 36', Adegboyega E. , Jules Z. ,
  • 42', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pleguezuelo J. , MacKenzie J. ,
  • 50', Finn T. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 53', Watmore D. , McWilliams S. ,
  • 53', Benson J. , Gore D. ,
  • 75', Gore D. 🟨,
  • 77', Rafferty J. 🟨,
  • 81', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 81', Edwards J. 🟨,
  • 81', Edwards J. , Oseni O. ,
  • 81', Sorinola M. , Paterson J. ,
  • 82', Martha A. , Agbaire L. ,
  • 87', MacKenzie J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
29.8%
Draw
26.5%
Plymouth Argyle
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 27.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 26.1% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.09)
    3.54
    (3.45)
    2.15
    (2.19)
    6.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Plymouth will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.
    • Rotherham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Gore D. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Powell J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Jules Z. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Kane H. (Injury) Ralls J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United 1:0
    05.04.2024 Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    16.12.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United 3:2
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two