Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peniche
33.1% | Draw
29.9% | SB Castelo Branco
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Peniche - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.47) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
2.44 ↓
(2.57) |
10.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against SB Castelo Branco?
Peniche has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Peniche?
SB Castelo Branco has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
07.12.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Peniche
5:0
30.11.2024
SB Castelo Branco
-
Peniche
0:1
07.04.2024
Peniche
-
SB Castelo Branco
2:0
17.12.2023
SB Castelo Branco
-
Peniche
2:0
Latest results of Peniche
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 34:12 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Peniche | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Lajense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 32:57 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
