Result
5:2
29/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 44', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 5 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Samora Correia
27.8% | Draw
29.4% | Peniche
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samora Correia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Samora Correia - Peniche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.82) |
3.08 ↓
(3.2) |
2.11 ↓
(2.32) |
10.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Samora Correia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peniche has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against Peniche?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against Samora Correia?
Peniche has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samora Correia - Peniche were as follows:
14.09.2025
Peniche
-
Samora Correia
1:0
Latest results of Samora Correia
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
