Result
4:2
14/04/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Lima F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Ze Leite ⚽,
- 25', 0 - 2, Robinho (Pen),
- 28', Rochez B. 🟨,
- 29', Nibe A. 🟨,
- 31', Rossi R. 🟨,
- 32', Alves P. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Etim F. ⚽, Goncalves V. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Etim F. ⚽, Lucas Gabriel (A),
- 45+3', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Beni D. 🟨,
- 56', Ze Leite 🟨,
- 56', Robinho 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 2, Nibe A. ⚽, Rochez B. (A),
- 65', Olamilekan Fatai S. ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 2, Rochez B. ⚽, Lucas Gabriel (A),
- 70', Lucas Gabriel ↓, Matos R. ↑,
- 77', Ewerton ↓, Rodrigues T. ↑,
- 77', Pereira B. ↓, Gustavo Fernandes ↑,
- 80', Robinho 🟨,
- 83', Rochez B. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 83', Nibe A. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
- 88', Reko ↓, Pinheiro Edu ↑,
- 88', Ze Leite ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 89', Capitao D. ↓, Rodrigo Freitas ↑,
- 90', Etim F. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mafra
38% | Draw
30.4% | Penafiel
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Mafra - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.41) |
3.05 ↓
(3.08) |
2.93 ↓
(2.98) |
8.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Penafiel (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mafra will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mafra (votes: 3 - 75%). Penafiel (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Penafiel?
Mafra has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Mafra?
Penafiel has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Penafiel were as follows:
01.12.2024
Penafiel
-
Mafra
1:1
09.03.2024
Mafra
-
Penafiel
0:1
27.10.2023
Penafiel
-
Mafra
1:0
05.02.2023
Penafiel
-
Mafra
1:0
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
