FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 38
  • Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.841.68
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
33
Passes
74% (207/279)88% (535/611)
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.841.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.86
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
312
Shots outside the box
50
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1132
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
109
Passes
74% (207/279)88% (535/611)
Long passes
49% (28/57)68% (45/66)
Passes in final third
59% (56/95)78% (145/186)
Crosses
60% (3/5)24% (9/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.62
Throw ins
1526
Fouls
910
Tackles
68% (13/19)93% (13/14)
Duels won
4641
Clearances
4112
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.860.77
Goals prevented
0.860.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', van de Wetering M. 🟨,
  • 22', van Veen K. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Muller T. , van Berkel N. ,
  • 61', Geerts J. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 61', Zimuangana O. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 63', van Schuppen B. , Dorenbosch D. ,
  • 63', Blummel S. , Lukoki Mateso E. ,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Absalem A. (Own goal),
  • 80', van de Wetering M. , Ali H. ,
  • 83', Llonch P. , Koglin B. ,
  • 90', Simons T. , Munsters N. ,
  • 90+1', Dekkers S. , Ingason H. ,

Chances of winning


FC Eindhoven
44.6%
Draw
25.3%
Helmond Sport
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 24.1% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 23.6% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Helmond Sport's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Helmond Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.79)
    3.67
    (3.87)
    3.11
    (3.92)
    7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: FC Eindhoven will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.
    • FC Eindhoven has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Helmond Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, FC Eindhoven is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in FC Eindhoven: Brondeel J. (Broken Leg) Bryson A. (Red Card) Neeskens J. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 1:0
    28.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 2:2
    22.11.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    03.05.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 2:0
    20.10.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 1:2
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    10.04.2026 FC Eindhoven - Roda 1:3
    28.03.2026 FC Eindhoven - Emmen 1:0
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

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