Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.30
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
74% (251/341)79% (362/456)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.08
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
718
Passes
74% (251/341)79% (362/456)
Long passes
43% (35/81)59% (50/85)
Passes in final third
55% (50/91)63% (79/126)
Crosses
9% (2/22)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.15
Throw-ins
1437
Fouls
187
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3668
Clearances
3621
Interceptions
71
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.081.22
Goals prevented
0.080.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Essakkati T. 🟨,
  • 13', Poll T. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
  • 39', Douglas T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Vos D. 🟨,
  • 57', Essakkati T. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
  • 68', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
  • 69', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
  • 73', Haddaoui Z. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
  • 74', Lukoki Mateso E. ↓, Mununga T. ↑,
  • 81', Llonch P. 🟨,
  • 83', Huisman D. ↓, Essers C. ↑,
  • 84', Blummel S. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
  • 84', Leipold A. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
  • 84', Et Taibi A. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
  • 90', Neeskens J. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
59.7%		Draw
23.6%		FC Eindhoven
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.
  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.62 ↓
    (1.92)    		 4.14 ↑
    (3.8)    		 6.2 ↑
    (3.37)    		 2.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
    • Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • FC Eindhoven is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Helmond Sport is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
    28.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 2:2
    22.11.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    03.05.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 2:0
    20.10.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 1:2
    12.05.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 0:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    20.09.2025 Vitesse - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺
    16.09.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1
    29.08.2025 ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport 2:0 ✺
    22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    19.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - FC Oss 3:4 ✺
    15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0 ✺
    12.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag 0:1 ✺
    04.09.2025 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 1:2
    29.08.2025 Roda - FC Eindhoven 0:0 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

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