Result
0:3
18/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (350/416) | 85% (454/535) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (350/416) | 85% (454/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 56% (35/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (58/86) | 62% (46/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
- 42', Nakayama Y. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Misao K. ⚽, Tagawa K. (A),
- 45+1', Na Sang-Ho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shirasaki R. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
- 46', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
- 46', Nakamura H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
- 46', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 65', Matsumura Y. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
- 65', Tagawa K. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
- 74', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
- 74', Shibasaki G. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 82', Lavi N. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 3, Cavric A. ⚽, Leo Ceara (A),
- 90+3', Leo Ceara ↓, Sekigawa I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
40.4% | Draw
30% | Kashima Antlers
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.17) |
3.13 ↓
(3.37) |
3.18 ↓
(3.33) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kashima will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
- Machida Zelvia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kashima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Kashima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
Vasquez B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Soma Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kashima Antlers?
Machida Zelvia has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Machida Zelvia?
Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
27.08.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashima Antlers
3:0
21.06.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashima Antlers
2:1
03.05.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Machida Zelvia
1:0
08.12.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Machida Zelvia
3:1
22.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashima Antlers
2:0
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
