Result
0:4
23/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium |
Bolivia | ESPN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | ESPN |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Paraguay | ESPN |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (337/406) | 81% (309/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 3.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (337/406) | 81% (309/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (87/118) | 57% (31/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.35 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽, Velasco A. (A),
- 40', Soso M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Angel Romero ↓, Ascacibar S. ↑,
- 47', Delgado M. 🟨,
- 54', Hausch A. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
- 62', Delgado M. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
- 62', Gimenez M. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 71', Portillo A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 71', Amor E. ↓, Banega E. ↑,
- 71', Caceres D. ↓, Pereyra E. ↑,
- 72', Botta R. 🟨,
- 72', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 77', 0 - 2, Velasco A. ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
- 78', Zeballos E. ↓, Aranda T. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Aranda T. (A),
- 81', Velasco A. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
- 83', Botta R. ↓, Aguiar M. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, Miguel Merentiel ⚽,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia 31.8% | Draw 32.7% | Boca Juniors 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.97 ↓ (3.53) |
2.89 ↓ (3.07) |
2.64 ↑ (2.23) |
6.1% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
- Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Boca Juniors is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Osorio A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Palacios
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Lower Back Injury)
Marchesin A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Paredes L.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Boca Juniors?
Defensa y Justicia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Defensa y Justicia?
Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
27.09.2025
Defensa y Justicia
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
21.07.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
Boca Juniors
2:2
10.02.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
15.09.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
06.03.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)