Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
23/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyD Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.342.97
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
17
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
41
Passes
83% (337/406)81% (309/381)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.342.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.373.35
Total shots
811
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
49
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
33
Free kicks
115
Passes
83% (337/406)81% (309/381)
Long passes
45% (23/51)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
74% (87/118)57% (31/54)
Crosses
23% (3/13)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.68
Throw ins
2419
Fouls
511
Tackles
82% (9/11)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
1814
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
3.350.37
Goals prevented
-0.650.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Gimenez M. , Velasco A. (A),
  • 40', Soso M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Angel Romero , Ascacibar S. ,
  • 47', Delgado M. 🟨,
  • 54', Hausch A. , Altamira F. ,
  • 62', Delgado M. , Paredes L. ,
  • 62', Gimenez M. , Bareiro A. ,
  • 71', Portillo A. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 71', Amor E. , Banega E. ,
  • 71', Caceres D. , Pereyra E. ,
  • 72', Botta R. 🟨,
  • 72', Bareiro A. 🟨,
  • 77', 0 - 2, Velasco A. , Zeballos E. (A),
  • 78', Zeballos E. , Aranda T. ,
  • 81', 0 - 3, Ascacibar S. , Aranda T. (A),
  • 81', Velasco A. , Miguel Merentiel ,
  • 83', Botta R. , Aguiar M. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 4, Miguel Merentiel ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
31.8%
Draw
32.7%
Boca Juniors
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 30.8% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 30.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.53)
    2.89
    (3.07)
    2.64
    (2.23)
    6.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Osorio A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Marchesin A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Paredes L. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:1
    21.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:2
    10.02.2024 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    15.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 1:0
    06.03.2023 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)