Sarmiento de Junín vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Eva Peron (Junin).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	1.23
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
4	10
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	9
Passes
67% (176/264)	76% (260/341)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	2.05
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
4	10
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	9
Touches in opposition box
10	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
16	16
Passes
67% (176/264)	76% (260/341)
Long passes
41% (31/76)	35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
59% (72/123)	64% (63/99)
Crosses
10% (2/21)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.52
Throw-ins
24	29
Fouls
16	16
Tackles
82% (14/17)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
53	55
Clearances
34	24
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	4
xGOT faced
2.05	0.23
Goals prevented
0.05	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Mammana E. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
28', Villalba C. 🟨,
28', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
36', Suhr L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Valdes D. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
56', Pratto L. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
56', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. ⚽,
64', Baeza C. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Pizzini F. ⚽,
68', Arismendi Y. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
79', Lanzini M. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,
79', Godoy D. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
87', Baeza C. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
90+4', Magallan L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sarmiento de Junín
26.5%

Draw
33.8%

Vélez Sársfield
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

32.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

32.2%

38.1%

Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.13)	2.81 ↓ (2.84)	2.4 ↓ (2.5)	5.3% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.5% – 99.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (International duty) Roncaglia F. (Coach's decision)
There will not play in Vélez: Aliendro R. (Red Card) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Montero A. (International duty)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Vélez Sársfield?

Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Sarmiento de Junín?

Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:

14.04.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1

01.12.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0

14.07.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 1:1

22.08.2022 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1

Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín

12.10.2025 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Vélez Sársfield

11.10.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 1:2 ✺

06.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 2:2 ✺

29.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 3:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺

19.09.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield 1:2 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lanus	3	2	1	0	7:5	2	7
2	Velez Sarsfield	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
3	Platense	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
4	Boca Juniors	3	2	0	1	4:2	2	6
5	San Lorenzo	3	2	0	1	4:3	1	6
6	Estudiantes L.P	3	1	2	0	3:2	1	5
7	Defensa y Justicia	3	1	2	0	1:0	1	5
8	Union de Santa Fe	3	1	1	1	5:2	3	4
9	Independiente	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3
10	Talleres Cordoba	3	1	0	2	4:5	-1	3
11	Gimnasia Mendoza	3	1	0	2	1:5	-4	3
12	Instituto	3	0	1	2	3:5	-2	1
13	Dep. Riestra	3	0	1	2	1:3	-2	1
14	Central Cordoba	3	0	1	2	0:2	-2	1
15	Newells Old Boys	3	0	1	2	2:5	-3	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	3	3	0	0	6:3	3	9
2	Tigre	3	2	1	0	6:2	4	7
3	River Plate	3	2	1	0	3:0	3	7
4	Gimnasia L.P	3	2	0	1	5:4	1	6
5	Belgrano	3	1	2	0	3:2	1	5
6	Argentinos Jrs	3	1	2	0	1:0	1	5
7	Rosario Central	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
8	Banfield	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
9	Sarmiento Junin	3	1	0	2	2:3	-1	3
10	Huracan	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2
11	Atl. Tucuman	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
12	Barracas Central	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
13	Aldosivi	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
14	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	3	0	1	2	1:4	-3	1
15	Racing Club	3	0	0	3	3:7	-4	0

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)